DET 122-96 SAS, March 25, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DET beat SAS 122-96, but SAS's shots were worth 113.1 points to DET's 105.4.

DET 122-96 SAS, March 25, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
DET7810386.019/2519.4122105.4
SAS918097.516/2015.596113.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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