CHA 104-111 ORL, March 25, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. ORL beat CHA 111-104, but CHA's shots were worth 112.7 points to ORL's 112.6.

CHA 104-111 ORL, March 25, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHA	88	88	96.7	16/21	16.0	104	112.7
ORL	90	95	97.3	16/19	15.3	111	112.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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