WAS 104-112 TOR, March 24, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. TOR beat WAS 112-104, and TOR's shots were worth 126.8 points to WAS's 117.8.

WAS 104-112 TOR, March 24, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
WAS	87	81	91.5	23/34	26.3	104	117.8
TOR	101	92	105.8	20/27	21.0	112	126.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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