TOR 89-123 SAS, March 23, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAS beat TOR 123-89, and SAS's shots were worth 123.2 points to TOR's 119.6.

TOR 89-123 SAS, March 23, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	92	80	109.9	9/13	9.6	89	119.6
SAS	86	96	98.9	27/32	24.3	123	123.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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