MIA 122-105 CHA, March 23, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIA beat CHA 122-105, but CHA's shots were worth 105.7 points to MIA's 105.4.

MIA 122-105 CHA, March 23, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	82	106	89.8	16/20	15.7	122	105.4
CHA	87	93	95.2	12/13	10.5	105	105.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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