ATL 132-119 PHI, March 23, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. ATL beat PHI 132-119, but PHI's shots were worth 134.4 points to ATL's 120.5.

ATL 132-119 PHI, March 23, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	87	113	102.8	19/22	17.8	132	120.5
PHI	91	91	106.3	28/37	28.1	119	134.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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