POR 128-109 DEN, March 21, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. POR beat DEN 128-109, and POR's shots were worth 113.4 points to DEN's 101.8.

POR 128-109 DEN, March 21, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
POR	87	108	94.4	20/25	19.0	128	113.4
DEN	76	85	80.4	24/28	21.4	109	101.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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