PHX 123-112 CLE, March 21, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat CLE 123-112, but CLE's shots were worth 104.7 points to PHX's 98.8.

PHX 123-112 CLE, March 21, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	92	115	92.2	8/8	6.6	123	98.8
CLE	94	101	93.4	11/14	11.3	112	104.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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