UTA 99-121 BOS, March 21, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BOS beat UTA 121-99, and BOS's shots were worth 115.0 points to UTA's 95.7.

UTA 99-121 BOS, March 21, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
UTA	84	90	86.4	9/12	9.3	99	95.7
BOS	97	107	101.9	14/16	13.1	121	115.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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