DAL 123-117 DET, March 21, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DAL beat DET 123-117, but DET's shots were worth 123.4 points to DAL's 113.4.

DAL 123-117 DET, March 21, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	80	96	84.5	27/36	28.9	123	113.4
DET	98	103	108.9	14/19	14.4	117	123.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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