SAS 128-120 PHI, March 21, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAS beat PHI 128-120, and SAS's shots were worth 117.6 points to PHI's 109.5.

SAS 128-120 PHI, March 21, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
SAS89113104.015/1813.5128117.6
PHI8110694.114/2015.4120109.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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