WAS 105-120 ORL, March 21, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ORL beat WAS 120-105, and ORL's shots were worth 104.1 points to WAS's 96.7.

WAS 105-120 ORL, March 21, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
WAS	87	91	82.9	14/19	13.8	105	96.7
ORL	96	109	94.1	11/13	10.0	120	104.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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