SAC 116-128 CHI, March 20, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CHI beat SAC 128-116, and CHI's shots were worth 122.1 points to SAC's 113.1.

SAC 116-128 CHI, March 20, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
SAC869795.119/2318.0116113.1
CHI86105100.623/2621.5128122.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.