GSW 104-93 MIL, March 18, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GSW beat MIL 104-93, and GSW's shots were worth 100.7 points to MIL's 98.2.

GSW 104-93 MIL, March 18, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	77	81	80.8	23/26	19.9	104	100.7
MIL	79	74	79.1	19/27	19.1	93	98.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.