IND 105-99 BKN, March 20, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. IND beat BKN 105-99, but BKN's shots were worth 120.5 points to IND's 110.4.

IND 105-99 BKN, March 20, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	81	78	85.8	27/31	24.5	105	110.4
BKN	101	86	106.1	13/18	14.4	99	120.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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