CHA 115-98 NYK, March 20, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. CHA beat NYK 115-98, but NYK's shots were worth 114.7 points to CHA's 109.4.

CHA 115-98 NYK, March 20, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHA	88	101	96.4	14/17	13.0	115	109.4
NYK	90	82	98.8	16/20	15.9	98	114.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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