SAC 123-119 CLE, March 19, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAC beat CLE 123-119, and SAC's shots were worth 106.4 points to CLE's 98.0.

SAC 123-119 CLE, March 19, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
SAC9110893.415/1613.0123106.4
CLE8410583.914/1814.111998.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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