POR 115-99 MEM, March 19, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. POR beat MEM 115-99, and POR's shots were worth 117.3 points to MEM's 108.6.

POR 115-99 MEM, March 19, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
POR	96	98	101.0	17/21	16.3	115	117.3
MEM	92	82	92.2	17/21	16.3	99	108.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.