SAS 120-105 NYK, March 19, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. SAS beat NYK 120-105, but NYK's shots were worth 121.5 points to SAS's 116.8.

SAS 120-105 NYK, March 19, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAS	90	106	101.5	14/20	15.3	120	116.8
NYK	92	89	104.8	16/21	16.8	105	121.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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