MIN 115-119 NOP, March 19, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. NOP beat MIN 119-115, and NOP's shots were worth 113.9 points to MIN's 111.2.

MIN 115-119 NOP, March 19, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	77	86	82.8	29/36	28.4	115	111.2
NOP	89	107	98.1	12/22	15.8	119	113.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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