MIA 113-116 DET, March 19, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DET beat MIA 116-113, and DET's shots were worth 128.6 points to MIA's 113.9.

MIA 113-116 DET, March 19, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	90	98	99.5	15/18	14.4	113	113.9
DET	91	101	114.5	15/18	14.1	116	128.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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