IND 135-131 DAL, March 19, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. IND beat DAL 135-131, and IND's shots were worth 120.7 points to DAL's 118.8.

IND 135-131 DAL, March 19, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
IND8210691.129/3729.6135120.7
DAL8810794.224/3224.6131118.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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