LAC 132-119 CLE, March 18, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LAC beat CLE 132-119, but CLE's shots were worth 117.7 points to LAC's 109.1.

LAC 132-119 CLE, March 18, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAC	84	108	86.9	24/28	22.3	132	109.1
CLE	90	102	96.9	17/26	20.8	119	117.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.