LAL 89-118 MIL, March 20, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIL beat LAL 118-89, and MIL's shots were worth 111.4 points to LAL's 99.0.

LAL 89-118 MIL, March 20, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAL	82	79	87.1	10/16	11.9	89	99.0
MIL	84	91	87.1	27/34	24.2	118	111.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.