BOS 104-96 BKN, March 18, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BOS beat BKN 104-96, but BKN's shots were worth 107.2 points to BOS's 101.7.

BOS 104-96 BKN, March 18, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BOS	79	86	84.1	18/22	17.6	104	101.7
BKN	88	85	93.4	11/17	13.7	96	107.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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