CHA 102-134 ATL, March 18, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat CHA 134-102, and ATL's shots were worth 106.5 points to CHA's 105.9.

CHA 102-134 ATL, March 18, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHA	84	86	89.3	16/21	16.6	102	105.9
ATL	93	122	95.0	12/15	11.4	134	106.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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