SAS 105-116 ORL, April 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ORL beat SAS 116-105, and ORL's shots were worth 107.7 points to SAS's 105.3.

SAS 105-116 ORL, April 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAS	81	93	92.8	12/17	12.5	105	105.3
ORL	90	104	98.4	12/12	9.3	116	107.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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