NOP 81-127 DET, March 17, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DET beat NOP 127-81, and DET's shots were worth 124.7 points to NOP's 115.4.

NOP 81-127 DET, March 17, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	86	61	94.5	20/30	20.9	81	115.4
DET	84	105	101.9	22/29	22.8	127	124.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.