MIN 130-132 IND, March 17, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. IND beat MIN 132-130, but MIN's shots were worth 138.2 points to IND's 127.6.

MIN 130-132 IND, March 17, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	97	101	108.7	29/36	29.5	130	138.2
IND	97	113	109.3	19/23	18.3	132	127.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.