HOU 144-137 PHI, March 17, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat PHI 144-137, and HOU's shots were worth 137.2 points to PHI's 118.3.

HOU 144-137 PHI, March 17, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	107	124	118.5	20/24	18.7	144	137.2
PHI	95	120	99.1	17/25	19.2	137	118.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.