MIL 105-121 OKC, March 16, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat MIL 121-105, and OKC's shots were worth 119.3 points to MIL's 113.0.

MIL 105-121 OKC, March 16, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	83	79	87.6	26/33	25.4	105	113.0
OKC	89	102	98.7	19/25	20.6	121	119.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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