MIN 128-102 UTA, March 16, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat UTA 128-102, and MIN's shots were worth 129.2 points to UTA's 107.7.

MIN 128-102 UTA, March 16, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	97	110	108.7	18/26	20.6	128	129.2
UTA	90	90	95.9	12/15	11.8	102	107.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.