BKN 122-114 ATL, March 16, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BKN beat ATL 122-114, but ATL's shots were worth 116.0 points to BKN's 114.8.

BKN 122-114 ATL, March 16, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BKN	90	103	96.8	19/23	18.0	122	114.8
ATL	90	95	97.4	19/24	18.6	114	116.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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