LAL 107-96 PHX, March 16, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. LAL beat PHX 107-96, and LAL's shots were worth 118.9 points to PHX's 117.4.

LAL 107-96 PHX, March 16, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAL	81	84	94.5	23/32	24.4	107	118.9
PHX	89	79	100.1	17/21	17.3	96	117.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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