SAS 119-115 NOP, March 15, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAS beat NOP 119-115, and SAS's shots were worth 122.7 points to NOP's 114.2.

SAS 119-115 NOP, March 15, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAS	84	94	97.5	25/33	25.2	119	122.7
NOP	92	104	105.4	11/11	8.8	115	114.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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