MEM 125-91 MIA, March 15, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MEM beat MIA 125-91, and MEM's shots were worth 109.6 points to MIA's 106.4.

MEM 125-91 MIA, March 15, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MEM	92	114	100.4	11/12	9.2	125	109.6
MIA	88	79	94.9	12/15	11.4	91	106.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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