HOU 117-114 CHI, March 15, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat CHI 117-114, and HOU's shots were worth 123.4 points to CHI's 117.7.

HOU 117-114 CHI, March 15, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	98	102	104.4	15/26	19.0	117	123.4
CHI	93	100	104.3	14/16	13.4	114	117.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.