PHX 122-106 SAC, March 14, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PHX beat SAC 122-106, and PHX's shots were worth 99.6 points to SAC's 93.5.

PHX 122-106 SAC, March 14, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	79	106	84.8	16/19	14.8	122	99.6
SAC	81	88	77.2	18/20	16.4	106	93.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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