UTA 118-126 TOR, March 14, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. TOR beat UTA 126-118, and TOR's shots were worth 119.8 points to UTA's 111.5.

UTA 118-126 TOR, March 14, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
UTA899487.824/3123.7118111.5
TOR9110092.926/3526.9126119.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.