MIN 118-111 ORL, March 14, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat ORL 118-111, and MIN's shots were worth 110.5 points to ORL's 106.0.

MIN 118-111 ORL, March 14, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	80	98	88.3	20/28	22.1	118	110.5
ORL	89	92	88.7	19/22	17.2	111	106.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.