ATL 98-121 LAC, March 14, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. LAC beat ATL 121-98, and LAC's shots were worth 116.3 points to ATL's 113.0.

ATL 98-121 LAC, March 14, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	88	83	100.0	15/17	13.0	98	113.0
LAC	86	106	100.5	15/20	15.7	121	116.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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