PHI 100-112 IND, March 14, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. IND beat PHI 112-100, and IND's shots were worth 117.7 points to PHI's 107.3.

PHI 100-112 IND, March 14, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHI	82	85	90.8	15/22	16.5	100	107.3
IND	89	98	103.4	14/18	14.4	112	117.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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