MIA 91-103 BOS, March 14, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BOS beat MIA 103-91, and BOS's shots were worth 100.0 points to MIA's 97.1.

MIA 91-103 BOS, March 14, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	75	81	84.1	10/17	13.0	91	97.1
BOS	83	91	89.5	12/13	10.5	103	100.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.