GSW 130-104 SAC, March 13, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GSW beat SAC 130-104, and GSW's shots were worth 103.6 points to SAC's 99.0.

GSW 130-104 SAC, March 13, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	78	112	85.7	18/24	17.9	130	103.6
SAC	79	88	81.3	16/22	17.7	104	99.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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