MIL 126-106 LAL, March 13, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIL beat LAL 126-106, and MIL's shots were worth 124.2 points to LAL's 108.9.

MIL 126-106 LAL, March 13, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	86	99	99.3	27/33	24.9	126	124.2
LAL	87	91	94.5	15/18	14.4	106	108.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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