DET 125-129 WAS, March 13, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. WAS beat DET 129-125, but DET's shots were worth 124.9 points to WAS's 114.0.

DET 125-129 WAS, March 13, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DET	85	88	90.3	37/43	34.6	125	124.9
WAS	90	106	92.3	23/27	21.7	129	114.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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