POR 113-114 NYK, March 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. NYK beat POR 114-113, but POR's shots were worth 110.9 points to NYK's 107.1.

POR 113-114 NYK, March 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
POR909791.816/2519.1113110.9
NYK9410091.114/2016.0114107.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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