TOR 118-105 PHI, March 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. TOR beat PHI 118-105, but PHI's shots were worth 129.6 points to TOR's 125.7.

TOR 118-105 PHI, March 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	100	104	112.0	14/18	13.7	118	125.7
PHI	96	89	112.8	16/22	16.7	105	129.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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