ATL 123-110 CHA, March 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat CHA 123-110, and ATL's shots were worth 119.9 points to CHA's 103.5.

ATL 123-110 CHA, March 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	88	88	88.2	35/39	31.7	123	119.9
CHA	88	94	88.5	16/18	15.0	110	103.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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