NOP 127-120 LAC, March 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. NOP beat LAC 127-120, but LAC's shots were worth 116.0 points to NOP's 105.7.

NOP 127-120 LAC, March 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	85	111	92.8	16/18	12.9	127	105.7
LAC	92	106	101.4	14/18	14.6	120	116.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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